Series S2-2026 · Active

Systematic overlay outputs
for liquid futures.

A cross-asset decision overlay applied at the timing, conviction, and capital efficiency layer of institutional and CTA portfolios. We are not another source of direction. We improve the quality of decisions made on the direction you already have.

A research firm producing strictly directional overlay outputs for 17 liquid futures markets.

ATP develops rules-based models that produce decision overlays — applied as a structured directional view on each subscribed instrument, delivered daily before exchange open. The output is not an additional directional source. It is a decision input designed to sit alongside an existing systematic or discretionary process and improve the quality of decisions produced by that process. Most third-party providers add more information. ATP improves what the portfolio manager does with the information they already have.

Overlay outputs, not data
A structured directional view per instrument, updated daily before exchange open at approximately 16:40 CST. No data processing required — outputs are timestamped and ingestion-ready.
Series architecture
Eleven-week quarterly cycles aligned with the front-month futures contract window. Models recalibrate continuously on a daily data feed throughout each active Series.
Cross-asset reach
Outputs on 17 instruments carry cross-asset implications across correlated equity, rates, and FX positions beyond the directly covered universe.

Predictable cadence. Institutional delivery.

A continuous directional overlay — strictly long or short on each instrument throughout the cycle. The overlay reverses when the model determines that the directional environment has shifted. There is no neutral state by design.

Daily
Before 16:40 CST
17
Covered instruments
11 wks
Per Series cycle
5 days
Inter-Series window

Four ways the overlay integrates into existing process.

No model replacement. No required infrastructure change. The overlay is consumed at the layer that matches your existing framework — as a filter, a sizing input, a timing reference, or an attributable sleeve.

01 · Filter

Remove low-quality setups before execution

The overlay output acts as a regime gate, applied before a trade is expressed. It identifies environments structurally unfavourable for the existing directional thesis and reduces exposure to entries at exhaustion points.

02 · Scaler

Position sizing by conditional regime state

Dynamic sizing adjustment based on regime conviction — increase exposure in higher-quality environments, reduce it in deteriorating ones. The output sits above the position sizing decision, not inside it.

03 · Timing

Refine entry and exit execution

Reduce adverse selection at the point of expression. For desks where entry and exit timing drives a meaningful share of returns, the overlay provides an independent view on short-horizon inefficiencies prior to every exchange open.

04 · Sleeve

Designated sleeve attribution

Overlay outputs are attributable to a designated client sleeve within the portfolio structure. Allocation mechanics are at full client discretion. ATP provides the input. The client decides how to account for it.

17 liquid futures instruments. Three asset classes.

The 17-instrument universe is the primary delivery scope. Beyond direct coverage, the overlay outputs carry cross-asset implications across correlated equity, rates, and FX positions — particularly relevant for multi-strategy and macro mandates whose portfolio construction extends beyond the directly covered set.

Asset classInstrumentsCount
Equity index futuresES · NQ · YM · FESX · FDAX · NKD6
Interest rate futuresZB · ZN · ZF · FGBL · FGBM · FGBS6
FX futures6E · 6B · 6J · 6A · 6C5

S2-2026 (the active Series) operates on a focused subset of the universe. Full 17-instrument coverage is scheduled to begin with S3-2026 on 29 June 2026.

Pre-announced quarterly windows. Aligned with front-month rolls.

Each Series is a structured eleven-week cycle aligned with the front-month futures contract window. Between Series, ATP operates a five-trading-day maintenance window during which models are retrained on newly ingested data and no overlay output is produced. Clients plan their evaluation cycle around known windows.

S2-2026 · Q2
Series S2-2026
30 Mar — 16 Jun 2026
ES · NQ · 6E · 6J · ZN · FGBL
S3-2026 · Q3
Series S3-2026
29 Jun — 16 Sep 2026
Full 17-instrument universe
S4-2026 · Q4
Series S4-2026
28 Sep — 16 Dec 2026
Full 17-instrument universe
S1-2027 · Q1
Series S1-2027
29 Dec 2026 — 20 Mar 2027
Full 17-instrument universe

Most diversification in institutional portfolios happens at the asset level. ATP provides diversification at the decision level — an independent input that is not explained by the same factors driving the rest of the book.

— ATP Positioning Standard

Three institutional mandates. One decision overlay.

ATP is built for institutional and CTA audiences with active futures exposure. The product is designed for portfolios where timing, conviction management, and capital efficiency are live operational questions — not for retail or sub-institutional mandates.

Discretionary hedge funds

Macro and directional books at PM/CIO level

For portfolio managers running discretionary futures books with active directional views, the failure mode is rarely the thesis — it is the timing of expression and the sizing around conviction. ATP provides an independent conviction reference at the point of the decision that was already going to be made.

  • Primary buyer: PM or CIO with futures decision authority
  • Use case: structured directional reference prior to every open
  • Outcome: improved entry timing, reduced expression-failure drawdowns
Multi-strategy platforms

CIOs and pod heads allocating across competing books

For multi-strategy platforms, the value is at the capital allocation layer. The overlay output is designed to be orthogonal to common factor exposures — it does not crowd with what existing pods are already doing. It helps prioritise which trades carry higher timing risk and where conviction is structurally better supported.

  • Primary buyer: CIO or pod head with allocation authority
  • Use case: capital allocation between competing futures books
  • Outcome: decision-level diversification across correlated factor exposures
Systematic CTAs

Trend-following and quant programmes

For systematic CTAs, ATP integrates above signal generation as a regime gate. It is designed for the failure modes systematic models encounter at regime transitions — late-stage entries, false breakouts, and deteriorating overlay quality during sideways and choppy markets. Your model logic stays intact.

  • Primary buyer: PM or head of research
  • Use case: regime filter and conditional position scaler
  • Outcome: improved trade quality at the point of expression

Structurally orthogonal. Continuously recalibrated.

ATP operates on short-horizon inefficiencies that are not captured by traditional factor premia. The conditional edge is derived from probability-weighted trade structuring under changing market conditions — specifically at points of maximum decision uncertainty, where institutional PnL leakage occurs and where traditional models provide the least structural guidance.

  • ORTHOGONAL TO FACTORS The overlay outputs are designed to be orthogonal to momentum, carry, and value exposures. It is not an alternative expression of the same premia — it is a structurally separate layer operating at the decision quality level, not the directional conviction level.
  • REGIME ROBUSTNESS Models are built to remain informative across regimes — not optimised for a single environment. Continuous daily recalibration on live data means the model adapts to structural changes in market behaviour rather than fitting a historical regime.
  • NO REPLACEMENT, NO FRICTION No model re-engineering. No required infrastructure change. The overlay integrates as a filter, sizing input, or timing reference within an existing framework — and is reversible at the end of any single Series.
  • RESEARCH FIRM, NOT AN ADVISER ATP produces overlay outputs. Clients apply those outputs as decision inputs within their own discretionary or systematic framework. ATP does not manage capital, provide investment advice, or operate as a financial intermediary.

Built for institutional precision.

An overview of the methodology, data architecture, and operational characteristics most commonly evaluated by systematic research and risk teams. Detailed methodology is available under a due diligence framework.

Model architecture

Independent agent-models with one dedicated model per instrument rather than a pooled cross-asset model. Continuous learning framework with structured maintenance controls.

Training window

Approximately ten-year rolling window, refreshed daily. The dataset expands and shifts forward continuously, so models are exposed to the most recent regime information.

Data inputs

Exchange-licensed institutional-grade market data — tick-by-tick Time and Sales plus Level 1 and Level 2 market depth. ATP does not use third-party output providers as model inputs.

Output classifications

Strictly directional: Bullish, Bearish, or Same as Previous (the prior regime remains active). No neutral or flat state. End of Series marks the close of the active cycle.

Delivery format

Periodic written reports — Information Modules and Sentiment Classifications — distributed via CSV, API, or email. UTC timestamps for global audit. No intraday weight updates.

Retraining cadence

Structured dataset reevaluation at the end of every Series, followed by adjustments during the five-day inter-Series maintenance window. Daily data intake throughout active Series.

Risk taxonomy

Three-part framework: systemic risk (regime shifts), system risk (production and delivery), data risk (feed integrity). Automated integrity checks across the pipeline.

Verification

Trade-level outputs available for independent evaluation. Live track records exist on selected instruments and are reviewed under a formal due diligence framework.

Ready to evaluate a Series?

Minimum commitment: one complete quarterly cycle. Pilots are structured around Series boundaries so the client gets a complete, uninterrupted evaluation cycle.

Start a conversation.

For evaluation enquiries, due diligence, or distribution conversations, reach the team directly. We respond to all enquiries within one business day.

Direct enquiries

Briefly describe your mandate, your primary futures exposure, and which Series window you would like to evaluate against. A short one-pager and sample report are available on request.

Operating regions

Global team across the EU, USA, and UAE. Client coverage and operations span the US, Asia, and EU. Over ten years of research and development in regulated liquid financial markets.

For professional and institutional clients only. ATP is not a broker, dealer, investment adviser, or futures commission merchant.